Tuesday, 17 April 2012

Information for Child Protection

I just managed to get  my response to the consultation on the British Government’s “Draft of Children’s Safeguarding Performance Information to the the Department for Education in time. See my earlier post for my first reaction.

Below is an edited version of what I said.

It is naïve to think that a small central group, however well informed, can specify in advance “… the key information required by local areas to understand changes in concentrations of children's need and trends over time, inform service planning and development and inform service improvement”.  At best what can be achieved in this way is the creation of some core data by which national aggregations and comparisons can be created.

The collection and use of information in delivering any service is a dynamic process. Attempts to constrain it too much result in those who deliver the service having to do so while having the ‘wrong’ information – i.e. information that other people think they should have, not information which they need.

I believe that Government should mandate local authorities to base the provision of their Children’s Services on sound, relevant and reliable information. But I believe that Government should be extremely cautious about specifying what this should be.

Government itself needs to be realistic about what information collected through national statistics can show. Rather than proposing detailed specific suggested measures it would be much more helpful for Government to be clear and consistent about what types of information it seeks to hold.

For example the “Draft of Children’s Safeguarding Performance Information for Consultation” document is inappropriately named. In the first place there is no attempt to make clear whose ‘performance’ is being measured. Secondly, many of the proposed measures are not measures of ‘performance’ but rather descriptors of states of the environment and indicators of demand for services. It is really a crass and potentially damaging mistake to be unclear or ambiguous about whether performance is or is not measured by a particular statistic. The careless use of ‘performance’ in the titling of the consultation document suggests to me that thinking by the Department about this issue remains rudimentary, if not crude.

I suggest that in general, both at local and national level, decision-makers and service deliverers will be served by information of the following types:

1.    Information about the environment in which the service operates, such as general demographics, trends in population growth, statistics concerning economic trends and social well-being etc.
2.    Specific information about the demand for services as they are presently configured – e.g. number of referrals, number of assessments, number of Section 47 enquiries, number of child protection conferences, number of children made subject to child protection plan, number of care proceedings initiated, number of children taken into care, number placed for adoption etc. etc.
3.    Views of service users (especially children and young people), service providers (especially those who work at the front-end) and other key stakeholders about how the service needs to respond and develop in order to better meet the needs of children and young people.
4.    Information about how services are meeting the five performance objectives (Slack, N. et al, “Operations and Process Management”, 2nd ed, Harlow: Prentice Hall, 2006, page 40). These are quality, speed, dependability, flexibility and cost.
5.    Information about the single most important input into the system – i.e. information about the people who provide the service.

Many of the measures proposed in the consultation document have an arbitrary character and suggest the question, ‘if this, then why not that as well’.  It is hard not to suspect that some measures have been included simply because they are already collected and, conversely, that some equally interesting (or disinteresting) measures have been excluded simply because the data is NOT currently collected.

A lot more interesting information is required in order to achieve a proper understanding of the environment in which a child protection service operates. For example, at local level quite rapid changes can occur as a result of depopulation, migration or changed economic conditions. Service planning needs, so far as is possible, to take these into account. Birth rates, the opening of new businesses attracting young families, an influx of migrants or movements of children and young people from inner cities to suburbs are examples of the kind of information that needs to be factored into any consideration of the extent and nature of the services to be provided.

An important element of such environmental information is the kind of information that is provided in the NSPCC’s prevalence studies (Cawson et al. 2000, Radford et al, 2011). Both nationally and locally there needs to be more frequent and more sophisticated attempts to understand both the prevalence and incidence of child abuse and neglect. No commercial service (e.g. an airline) would try to operate without having at least a rough idea of the size of demand for particular services, but that is what we seem to expect local authority practitioners and managers to do as a matter of course in providing child protection services. How much child abuse is there in London or Birmingham or Leeds or Manchester or Bristol? Presently the answer is that nobody knows. I found little in the draft that would cast much light on these most important considerations.

Specific information about the demand for current services is more adequately addressed in the draft, but even here there are some inexplicable omissions in what is proposed. I frequently despair of the inaccessibility of basic statistical information about the demand for current child protection services in a form that is readily accessible to all and which can be replicated at both national and local level. The number of children referred (and the rate), the number assessed, the number of section 47 enquiries undertaken, the number of emergency protection orders or police place of safeties, the number of child protection conferences, the number of children made subject to a plan and the number made subject to care proceedings (and the corresponding percentages) seem like items of very basic information which I would expect everyone to know at local and national level. That way a practitioner or a manager in one location can immediately tell an enquirer that a higher rate of referral exists in this locality (than nationally), but that a smaller proportion of cases result in an assessment or section 47 enquiry or that the proportion of all cases resulting in care is smaller than the national average etc. etc.

There is very little in the consultation document about the views of service users, especially children and young people, and what there is appears to be envisioned at the local level. Collecting this type of information is relatively expensive and it might, in the first instance, be better collected nationally than to engage in under resourced local initiatives. It ought to be possible to fund a national programme of data collection perhaps under the overall direction of the Children’s Commissioner using a grant from central government.

There is some information in the draft relating to the five operations objectives, but this is confined largely to quality and speed. Little relates to dependability, flexibility and cost.

In my view a major component of child protection quality concerns the issue of re-abuse. There is an urgent need to develop valid and reliable measures of the number of children who, having received some part (or all) of a child protection service, suffer re-abuse. Such a measure would also be a good indicator of the amount of ‘re-work’ that is in the system – i.e. cases which are recycling because wrong decisions were taken on a first attempt at providing a service. A significant difficulty with providing such a measure is in achieving an objective assessment of whether re-abuse has occurred. However, it should not be impossible to develop an adequate measure.

Another important dimension of service quality is the user perspective. How responsive, helpful, respectful, listening, caring and sagacious are those who deliver the service? How do children and young people perceive the services they are offered? To what extent do they see the services as meeting their needs in ways that they want? How satisfied are they with what they receive? How would they improve the service? There are obviously very great difficulties in collecting this type of information from very young children, but there are certainly ways in which these problems can be addressed. Having a sample of cases involving babies and toddlers being observed by researchers expert in child psychology is one way in which relevant information can be generated.

Capturing this aspect of service quality might also fall within the remit of the Children’s Commissioner as outlined above. National data collection may need to precede local initiatives because of issues of complexity of the research design and expense of data collection.

A final aspect of quality concerns recording of information. The focus here needs to be on the accuracy, not simply on the completeness, of records. The retrievability and accessibility of information are also important.

The issue of speed has bedevilled previous attempts to develop satisfactory safeguarding performance indicators. Speed is often relatively easy to measure as the difference between two dates.  But what is frequently forgotten is that it is bottlenecks in a service process that limit the output from the whole process and that if any part of a process exceeds the rate of activity permitted by the bottleneck, then work is being produced that cannot be used in time, thus squandering scarce resources.

So the decision about which parts of the system’s speed to measure must be taken very carefully. There must be good intrinsic reasons for specifying a particular speed target. For example it is reasonable to try to measure the speed at which a fire engine reaches the seen of a fire, because there is a crucial safety consideration involved here – the sooner the fire brigade are on-scene the sooner help can be delivered. But it is not reasonable to focus on the time interval between leaving the fire station and first delivering water at the incident scene, because in some cases there will be very good reasons why water should not be deployed too quickly if at all (e.g. some types of electrical fires). Likewise with child protection, it is important to respond to the referral quickly, but this does not always mean rushing an assessment or Section 47 enquiry, especially if to do so would lower the quality of the assessment. I think that the new measures proposed by Professor Munro, which focus on the distribution of the time taken for parts of the work, are particularly helpful – because they do not lend themselves to being converted into meaningless targets.

However it is usually the case that when an issue of a child’s safety is raised, those responsible for delivering a safeguarding service should respond quickly and someone should see the child quickly to determine to what extent any emergency protection is required. I would therefore want to include a ‘first response’ statistic, based on a distribution and not a target.

It is also reasonable to measure the speed of the whole process and to derive a distribution.

There is a range of possible statistics about dependability some of which are mentioned in the draft. The extent to which service users are kept informed, the keeping of promised dates or actions, the extent to which aspects of the service design are invariably provided – e.g. seeing the child: these are all important aspects of dependability.

Flexibility, however, is not well addressed. Crucial is the extent to which the service can cope with changes in circumstances, such as increased demand or labour shortages. How often are events (such as Child Protection Conferences) cancelled or delayed? How are unusual circumstances (e.g. a large influx of cases resulting from the activities of a serial abuser) coped with? How quickly can a service be recovered when things go wrong?

Then there is the issue of cost. It is very surprising that no mention of cost is made in the draft, especially since a very large body of information resides in the accounts of local authorities, which is easily accessible. Unit costs are often difficult to produce, and should not be attempted in an amateurish way, but costs of providing the whole service, or parts of it, at both local and national level should be readily available.

A local authority with a high cost, low demand, low service volume and low quality would certainly be one to require further investigation.


Monday, 16 April 2012

Increase in child protection in the UK, 2006-2011


As a prelude to the BASPCAN Congress 2012, to be held at Queen's University, Belfast between 16th and 18th April, we are reminded of the number of children whose names have been placed on Child Protection Registers in the four UK countries (in England the nomenclature is “Placed on a Child Protection Plan”).

Trends in all four countries since 2006 have been markedly up, with England showing the greatest growth, a whopping 60% percent increase. Northern Ireland experienced a 46% growth and Wales a 33% rise. The smallest increase was in Scotland, 19%.

Once again the message is clear. The child protection system continues to absorb unprecedented growth in demand without any clear policy about how resources can expand to match it. A recipe for disaster is in the making unless policy-makers hear the message and react quickly.

Here are the figures in detail:

2006 (number of children)
England 26400
Wales 2165
Scotland 2157
Northern Ireland 1639

2011 (number of children)
England 42330
Wales 2880
Scotland 2571
Northern Ireland 2401


The case of the missing guidance?

Camilla Pemberton in the Community Care Children's Services Blog on 5th April makes a very good point about the draft of the Working Together guidance on child protection in England: where is it?

She writes:
"So where is the consultation? It was due any day now, ahead of the final guidance in July, but it's nowhere to be seen. It may have got lost fighting its way out of the Department for Education, a fate that's befallen a few consultations in the past."

That's a very good question, Camilla. Perhaps somebody in the Department for Education could give us an answer!

Thursday, 12 April 2012

Care system under increased pressure


In the wake of the announcement that more than ten thousand children have been subject to care proceedings in England in the year ending 31st March 2012, an all time record, the Fostering Network once again reminds us of the serious shortfall in the numbers of foster parents. More than 7,000 are urgently required.

The Fostering Network has been saying the same thing for a long time, but nobody seems to be listening. It should be obvious to politicians and civil servants that the care system cannot go on absorbing increased numbers of children without a significant increase in resources.

This issue ought to be a number one priority for ministers. But they seem oddly silent. To stand by and watch the care system buckle under the pressure would be a dreadful betrayal of children.

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

UKBA’s Plan to X-ray asylum seeking children


No sooner had I heard about UKBA’s deplorable plans than I read about an increased risk of brain tumours as a result of ‘bite-wing’ X-rays.

Thursday, 5 April 2012

Let’s knock down our own Berlin Wall


I always enjoy reading articles written by Professor Nigel Parton. He has a great way of putting complex events into context and providing a clearer understanding. And he always makes me think.

So I can heartily recommend you read his latest article on the Munro Review in Children & Society Volume 26, (2012) pp. 150–162.

Parton sets himself the task of identifying some of the possible ‘gaps and challenges’ which militate against the successful implementation of Munro’s recommendations.  And he argues that the success of the Review will depend on “… cultural, political and economic factors well beyond its influence”.

I was particularly struck by one remark in his concluding section. He writes:

“Nor should we underestimate the size of the challenges, for the overly proceduralised, bureaucratic and defensive policies and practices which the Review aims to overcome have been established over a 30-year period and are thoroughly institutionalised in professional and organisational cultures.”

There is no doubt that this statement is true at one level. Ever since the Maria Colwell tragedy in the 1970s the trend in policy has been one way: more risk averse, more proceduralised, more controlled.

But I am not sure that the future always has to resemble the past. The very fact that those ‘overly proceduralised, bureaucratic and defensive policies and practices’ have dominated in Britain for so long, and recently have failed to prevent the deaths of Victoria Climbié, Peter Connelly and Khyra Ishaq, shows their weaknesses, not their strengths.

In 1980 the end of Communism in Eastern Europe seemed impossible. In 1990 it was all over bar the shouting. The lessons of history are that bad ideas can hold sway for only so long. Eventually, if enough people want to end a regime or reject an ideology, they will. And once the faith that a new order can be established becomes generalised, things happen with breathtaking speed.

So let’s start to kick down our own Berlin Wall. The idea that bureaucrats know best in child protection has certainly been cast in concrete - but it has had its day. Rather than ‘underestimating the size of the challenges’ lets avoid underestimating the extent of the opportunities.

If the Munro Review does no more than legitimate a different kind of thinking and trigger a series of challenges to the established order, it will have done its work. If enough of us embrace the opportunity for change, and have sufficient faith that it can be achieved, it will come about.

Monday, 2 April 2012

Useful research by Ofsted on adoption

I was pleased to hear that Ofsted has been conducting some research into the issue of delays in adoption and is reported by the BBC to have found that the most significant cause of delay in the adoption process in England is the time taken by the court proceedings.

If this is correct then simply pressurising local authorities to speed up adoptions is unlikely to have much effect. On the BBC Radio 4 Today programme this morning, John Goldup of Ofsted said that court delays were often associated with new members of the child’s birth family joining the proceedings and with the court ordering independent reports, often at the request of members of the birth family. These are complex issues with speed being delicately balanced against justice. More research may be required to come up with proposals about how to speed up the court stages of the process.

Ofsted described processes for matching children with adoptive parents as "generally robust". Little evidence was found of delays caused by social workers searching for a perfect ethnic match.

The Government needs to take this research very seriously. The time for drum-banging on the subject of the speed of adoption is now over and the time for careful research and analysis has arrived.